- The Skinny on Wall Street
- Posts
- The Skinny On...
The Skinny On...
3G | Signal
This Week on The Floor
ICYMI: our long anticipated Mergers & Acquisitions self-paced course is finally LIVE!!
Special 48 hour offer:
For those of you who previously purchased our Investment Banking & Private Equity Fundamentals course, you can add this module on at a special discounted rate HERE.
For those of you who haven’t, we are also offering a special SALE where you can buy the full course (including the M&A module!) HERE .
Curious about what’s in the new 6-hour M&A segment? Learn more HERE.
Also, for those of you who were signed up for our 2-day LIVE Financial Modeling Talent Accelerator, please note the new dates of May 19th - 20th. Missed the signup? Click HERE.
Unpacking the Fed’s announcement yesterday
What 3G’s take-private of Skechers teaches us about leveraged buyouts
Markets Recap / Deal News
Interviewing this week? Here’s some content for your conversation.
TL/DR on the Federal Reserve’s Announcement Yesterday
During the weeks of turmoil following Trump’s tariff announcements, many have speculated that the Fed would take dramatic action or send some signal to calm turmoil in the markets.
Yesterday we got a decisive response from the Fed: a whole lot of nothing.
Just as we suspected, the Fed’s statement highlighted the simultaneous risks posed to both sides of its dual mandate. They are equally concerned about the potential for ongoing inflation as they are about headwinds to growth.
Therefore, without more data or further clarity on how these policies will play out, it would be irresponsible for the Fed to take action or deviate from its current policy stance.
What IS its current policy?
1). Maintaining its target overnight rate range at 4.25-4.50%
2). Quantitative Tightening (shrinking its balance sheet) by up to $5bn per month in U.S. Treasuries and $35bn per month in Agency debt & MBS.
ICYMI: the Fed REDUCED the pace of its quantitative tightening from $25bn per month in U.S. Treasuries to $5bn per month at its March meeting, while keeping its pace of Agency debt and MBS tightening unchanged.
To understand a more detailed picture of its current Quantitative Tightening regime — and why a slowdown in quantitative tightening DOES NOT EQUAL Quantitative Easing — check out our quick video from yesterday:
How did the markets react?
While the Fed’s lack of policy change was in line with market expectations, their acknowledgement of stagflation risks had equities trading down initially after the announcement.
But by the end of the day, the Fed was old news, with stocks reacting positively to news of a trade deal being reached with the UK.
Treasuries, after the briefest of rallies in the minutes after the announcement, sold off (meaning, higher yields) on the news of the UK trade deal, as investors felt increasingly comfortable moving money into riskier assets.
FREE: The Financial Institution's Guide to Growth
If you missed it last week, now’s your chance to grab “The Financial Institution’s Guide to Growth with HubSpot” for free!
This in-depth guide shows how banks, credit unions, and fintechs use HubSpot’s all-in-one customer platform to succeed in a rapidly evolving digital landscape.
Inside, you’ll find insights into today’s top challenges in financial services, must-have capabilities for earning trust, and real-world ROI results from organizations already driving growth with HubSpot.
Don’t miss out on this valuable resource — download “The Financial Institution’s Guide to Growth with HubSpot” now and set your institution on a smarter path to growth.
Deal Deep‑Dive: 3G Capital’s $9.3bn LBO of Skechers
This week’s news that Skechers is being taken private in a $9.3 billion leveraged buyout (LBO) by 3G Capital isn’t just a headline — it’s a teachable moment for us to dive into three critical topics:
Why going private can be an attractive choice for a public company (especially when there is expected turmoil ahead)
Rollover equity
Classic LBO financing
Back in January, Skechers stock was trading at an all-time high — nearly $79 a share. But then came “Liberation Day.” On April 2, former President Trump proposed a dramatic 145% tariff on Chinese goods, along with a 10% + 46% “reciprocal” tariff on Vietnamese imports (that second piece is currently paused and under negotiation).
That matters because about 40% of Skechers’ manufacturing is done in China, and a big chunk of the rest comes from Vietnam.
Translation: massive uncertainty. Skechers’ stock dropped nearly 40% in a matter of weeks, hitting a low of $48.21 by April 7th.
Enter 3G Capital — one of private equity’s most notorious firms. Known for its aggressive cost-cutting and ruthless operational discipline, 3G has a history of transforming brands like Burger King (one of my favorite case studies to explain how LBOs work), Heinz, Anheuser-Busch, and Hunter Douglas. And now they’re betting they can do the same with Skechers.
💸 The Deal at a Glance
3G is offering shareholders $63 per share, which represents a ~30% premium to Skechers’ 15-day prior average share price, but is still about 20% below the highs we saw in January. So it's a deal that looks appealing in the short term — especially after the tariff-induced selloff — but might also feel like a steal for 3G.
As you’d expect with private equity, this deal is being financed largely with debt: about $6.5 billion of it, underwritten by JPMorgan. That puts the purchase price at roughly 9x EBITDA, and the leverage ratio at about 6.5x. 3G will put in around $2.9 billion of equity, but here’s where things get interesting…
🤔 Shareholders Have a Choice
Most LBOs involve buying out shareholders entirely for cash. But in this deal, 3G is offering two options:
Take $63 in cash and walk away, or
Take $57 in cash plus one “equity unit” — a private, non-tradeable ownership interest in the new Skechers parent company. Note: a maximum of 20% of outstanding shares of Sketchers will be eligible to participate as 3G’s target is to own 80% of the new Skechers.
Now, this concept — “rollover equity” — is usually reserved for the management team. But 3G is offering it to outside shareholders too, which is rare. Why?
Because it does a few things for them:
It lowers the upfront cash needed to close the deal (they pay $57 instead of $63).
It brings long-term believers along for the ride — folks who might want to share in the future upside.
It keeps control tight. The equity units are non-transferable, so 3G avoids ending up with random investors on the cap table.
🧠 Why Would Skechers Go Private at All?
This is where deal strategy meets macro volatility. For a company like Skechers — facing major supply chain exposure and a lot of uncertainty around tariffs — being public is hard. Every quarterly earnings call becomes a referendum on policy risk.
Private equity buyers love these situations because they can operate without the pressure of the public markets. They can make bold supply chain changes, overhaul costs, and reposition the brand without explaining every move to Wall Street. Once the dust settles, they can always re-IPO at a higher valuation.
The Takeaways
There’s a reason we wanted to break this deal down. It’s packed with real-world applications of key finance concepts:
Tariff shocks created a discounted buying opportunity.
Rollovers and equity units show how buyers can lower their cash burden and align incentives.
Leveraged financing allows sponsors like 3G to magnify returns…but also increases risk.
In volatile markets, going private can offer companies the runway they need to regroup and grow.
If you're trying to learn how Wall Street actually works — this is the kind of deal to study. It’s not just about sneakers. It’s about strategy, structure, and timing.